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The US data releases have just hit the screens and in addition to the latest US weekly jobless claims we have just had a bunch of revisions on GDP and PCE for Q4 2024. The latest weekly claims were expected to rise ever so slightly, to around 225k from 223k. They have actually fallen to 207K. The Q4 GDP was revised lower and below forecasts. It was at 3.1% annualised and forecast to come in at 2.6%. It was actually at 2.3%. The Core PCE did rise though, as expected by 2.5%. It was previously at 2.2%. The immediate dollar reaction has been positive and it seems the claims numbers are responsible for that, that core PCE will also ensure the Fed will not rush to lower rates. The USD/JPY bounced on this news and the EUR/USD has fallen back slightly after pressing towards 1.0420 after the ECB. Overall though, this all seems rather muted to be honest.
The push above 150 noted in the USD/JPY just now has come alongside further gains in the US equity space. So, it seems the service sector beat is...
The March US flash PMI data has just now hit the screens. The service sector reading was last at 51 and expect to be unchanged. It has risen to 54.3...
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